So far, Euro unfolded down from the Friday 1.3350 high to a low of 1.2780 today. This drops it below the daily 100 SMA, currently at 1.2805. I'd expect a bit of a bounce here as it corrects this big move and begins to work out some of the positive divergence with RSI on the three- and one-hour chart. The pair has clawed its way back to 1.2861. Certainly, part of the reason for this big move is the lack of liquidity in August trading markets.
You could have bought with a tight stop as it bounced off the low or you can wait until it retraces some of this drop and sell. I'll be on this pair closely.
Support is at 1.2805, 1.2780 and 1.2683/75 and 1.2620. Resistance is at 1.2870, 1.3000, 1.3050, 1.3125, 1.3226, and 1.3335.
Here's the three-hour chart:
© Dianne Fecteau, 2010. No part of this material may be reproduced in any form, or referred to in any other publication, without the express written permission of the author.
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Thursday, August 12, 2010
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THx I needed this, I am just practicing now and got the $## kicked out of me with EUR/USD drop.
ReplyDeleteEUR/USD 600000 1.282475 1.27534 -4281.00 -1.4
EUR/USD 100000 1.27740 1.27534 -206.00 -20.6 EUR/USD 500000 1.28349 1.27534 -4075.00 -81.5
Thanks for your comment, Kelly. The market can do this, particularly during the less liquid periods such as summer. Things will normalize in September.
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