Monday, April 26, 2010

EURUSD—weekly chart

My short from 1.3392 stopped just better than breakeven on Friday and I didn't bother getting back in since the weekend was coming on.

The pair has dropped to a low of 1.3292 this morning and seems to be rallying a bit now. If you look at the weekly chart you can see a 5 wave count down from the November high of 1.5144 which may have completed a wave one at the low last week. If this is true (and I must say that EW counts have been difficult lately), it's possible that the pair is in wave A of a corrective move up. It's possible it could reach as high as 1.3853. Let's see what happens today. If it makes a new low then that's very bearish. The other thing to note on the weekly chart are the upper and lower shadows on the candles. They show the indecision surrounding the pair.

Support is at 1.3292, 1.3202, 1.3128 and 1.30 (big psychological level). Below that is 1.2965 and 1.2863. Resistance is at 1.3400, 1.3447, 1.3525, 1.3585/91 and 1.3692.

Here's the weekly chart:










© Dianne Fecteau, 2010. No part of this material may be reproduced in any form, or referred to in any other publication, without the express written permission of the author.

My purpose in writing this blog is to show you how one trader, me, makes trading decisions and survives while trading Forex. One of the biggest problems I had when I first started trading was trying to apply the “rules” to actual trades. Another was the psychology—limiting losses and letting profits run. If you study my blog, you’ll see how I deal with both those issues. So my writings are not trade recommendations but rather educational in purpose. You have to decide on your own approach to trading. Remember that trading is risky.

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